John mccain recent news series#
John mccain recent news tv#

Like Bush, DeSantis won a narrow first election for governor, only to get reelected far more easily the second time.īush was heavily reliant on an outside super PAC, Right to Rise, that could run TV ads on his behalf but couldn’t coordinate with his campaign. Why DeSantis could be Jeb!: There are some parallels between the two men. Scott Walker (13.2 percent).īut by mid-July of 2015, he’d surrendered his lead to Trump for good. Marco Rubio (13.2 percent) and then-Wisconsin Gov. RealClearPolitics average over a fellow Floridian, Sen. On this day eight years ago, Bush (15.4 percent) actually led in the It’s not just because they’ve both been governor of Florida.

And enthusiasm among big donors for DeSantis’ candidacy has seemed to ebb and flow, rather than building steam leading into his launch. On Perry’s launch day, he was just 5 points behind Romney, 21 percent to 16.2 percent. What’s different: Unlike Perry, DeSantis is entering a race with a clearly defined frontrunner.

John mccain recent news series#

His campaign quickly was undone by a series of controversies and missteps, especially on the debate stage. He had a 12-point lead in the national polls over Romney, the eventual nominee. Perry entered the race in August, and by mid-September, And while his nearly $100 million Florida war chest can’t be used directly by his campaign,Īn allied super PAC is already amplifying his message. By all accounts, DeSantis is planning to launch with a splash. Why DeSantis could be Perry: Money and momentum. But he’d obviously need to avoid the pitfalls that doomed Perry’s campaign in the fall of 2011. Other candidates led the field upon Perry’s entrance, but a strong first month catapulted the then-Texas governor to the front.ĭeSantis would do well to emulate Perry’s launch. Like DeSantis, Perry was a big-state governor hailed as the future of the GOP.

As of late Friday, Trump had a 36-point lead over DeSantis, 56 percent to 19.9 percent. At this point in 2011, Giuliani was at 27.3 percent in the RealClearPolitics national average, 6 points ahead of McCain. What’s different: Trump isn’t necessarily Rudy Giuliani, even if DeSantis pounced on his absence from Iowa last weekend. Nearly 2-in-3 Republicans in an ABC News/Washington Post poll this month, 64 percent, say they would be satisfied if DeSantis is the nominee, while only 23 percent would be dissatisfied. The early states - McCain finished first in New Hampshire and South Carolina, and second to Mitt Romney in Michigan - were rocket fuel for the Arizonan’s campaign.įor DeSantis, despite his drop in the polls, the majority of Republican voters remain open to his candidacy. Why DeSantis could be McCain: As McCain did to Giuliani, DeSantis’ reported focus on Iowa suggests he will seek to outwork Trump in the early states. And McCain reached his polling nadir just after Labor Day, bottoming out at about 10 percent. RealClearPolitics, McCain was at 21.3 percent in the national polling average on May 20 of that year, down slightly from the start of the campaign.īy July, he was nearly broke - a problem DeSantis, who like McCain is a military veteran, isn’t likely to have that quickly. The best-case scenario: John McCainĭeSantis and his orbit may not welcome the comparison to the late senator from Arizona, but McCain started the year before the 2008 primaries in second place behind the frontrunner, Rudy Giuliani, who campaigned lightly in the early states only to overtaken by McCain and others by the time the race hit Giuliani’s beachhead in Florida.Īnd 2007 was rougher for McCain than 2023 has been for DeSantis: According to Here are three plausible analogs that DeSantis’ pending candidacy could follow, from best case to worst. Over the past few Republican primary years, a number of candidates have followed the same pattern, surging to the front of the pack only to wilt under scrutiny: Ben Carson, Herman Cain, Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich.īut if DeSantis is going to bounce back and win the nomination, there’s one model from recent history he should follow. Can DeSantis come back? History provides few clues: The modern presidential primary system is only 50 years old, and the volatility we’ve become used to is newer than that.